Like an Italian grandma, the NFL is giving us a second serving of Monday Night Football this evening before we’re even done with our starting plate. Seventy-five minutes after the Titans and Bills debuted on ESPN, the Vikings and Eagles will begin the fight on ABC. Here are three player props from BetMGM that’s hitting my eye like a big pizza pie tonight:
Mattison averaged 4.3 carries per game last season when Dalvin Cook was active. Fast-forward past Mike Zimmer getting the axe and silly offseason speculation that someone other than Mattison might be Minnesota’s RB2, for the first game of 2022, where Mattison hit eight carries for 36 yards to Kevin O’ Cook handled as clear backup at Connell. new crime. This is just a sample size of one game, but giving Mattison a few more tricks per contest would be a smart move to help reduce the increased risk of re-injuring Cook’s shoulder.
The Philadelphia defense finished last in tackle in Week 1 as they surrendered 181 rushing yards to the Lions. Mattison has hit this prop in each of his 24 career games where he has recorded at least five carries.
Treylon Burke over 26.5 receiving yards (-115)
NFL player Burke was compared to AJ Brown the most during the 2022 draft season. Tennessee would have agreed, as they traded Brown to Philly and chose Burke to replace him. The Arkansas rookie receiver spent much of training camp dealing with asthma, but he did well in games for the Titans’ offense that could use a breath of fresh air. Burks had a 15.2% goal share in Tennessee’s season opener, catching three of his five goals for 55 yards. His YAC ability could capitalize on this prop on a toss from Ryan Tanhill and we may even see some garbage time production in a matchup where the Titans are a 10-point underdog.
Derrick Henry under 87.5 rushing yards (-110)
At some point, Henry is about to fall off a cliff la Ville E. Coyote. It might be foolish to bet against him, but since 2019 he has almost 1,000 touches and has looked a bit slow in the two matches he played after breaking his leg last year. Much of Henry’s brilliance as a sprinter has been that he batted on defense for three quarters, then scored long runs in the final frame when he squandered his energy like a 247-pound vampire. Winning over the Rams in Buffalo Week 1, linebacker Matt Milano was the only front seven player for the Bills to log more than 69% of snaps. That decision to rotate defenders helped Buffalo dominate the front overnight, sacking Matthew Stafford seven times and holding the Rams to 52 rushing yards.
Stats provided by Pro Football Reference, PFF, and StatMuse.