The Milwaukee Bucks escaped with a close-fought Game 3 win over the Boston Celtics on Saturday. Two days later, the Bucks and Celtics get back together at Fiserv Forum, with Milwaukee leading the series by a 2-1 margin. That leaves Boston in a desperate position on the road in this 7:30 pm ET tip in Milwaukee. The Bucks are favored by one point in the NBA odds at Caesars Sportsbook, with an over-under total of 212 points.

Later in the night, the Golden State Warriors welcome the Memphis Grizzlies to Chase Center for Game 4 of a second round matchup at 10 pm ET. Golden State exploded in an unstoppable offensive performance in Game 3 on Saturday, taking control with a 2-1 series lead, and now Memphis could be without Ja Morant (knee) in Game 4. The Warriors are favored by nine points at Caesars, with an over-under of 226 points. Before locking in any NBA picks or parlays, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $ 10,000 in profit for $ 100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model entered the third full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $ 2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has set its sights on Monday’s NBA playoff schedule and revealed its best bets. If you parlay its picks, you could be looking at a payout of over 12-1. You can only see the model’s NBA picks at SportsLine.

Top NBA playoff picks for Monday, May 9

One of the NBA playoff picks the model recommends on Monday evening is the over 212 points in the Celtic vs. Bucks matchup. Both teams are adept in transition, which can lead to increased efficiency, and the Celtics and Bucks are each creating more than 14 turnovers per game in the NBA playoffs 2022. With a modest total, the over is attainable, and the Bucks finished in the top five of the NBA in offensive efficiency this season.

Milwaukee scored 114.3 points per 100 possessions in 2021-22, and Giannis Antetokounmpo averaged 29.9 points on 55.3 percent shooting. In the postseason, Antetokounmpo is averaging 31.3 points and 9.0 assists, and Jrue Holiday adds 23 points per game on the perimeter. The Bucks finished in the top eight of the NBA in 3-point shooting and 2-point shooting in the regular season, and Antetokounmpo is adept at finding shooters when the defense collapses on him.

Boston is also powerful on offense, ranking in the top 10 of the NBA in overall efficiency and in the top six in 2-point shooting and free throw shooting during the regular season. The model is projecting 219 combined points, helping the over clear in more than 60 percent of simulations.

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How to make NBA playoff picks and parlays today

The model also has identified three other strong picks that need to be in your NBA parlays, including a spread selection that hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the model’s best bets at SportsLine.

What are the top NBA picks for Monday? And which spread pick can you bank on well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see the NBA best bets, all from the model that is on an 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, and find out.

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